The mainstream media has been intently watching the latest national polls related to the 2016 presidential election.
For those who care about them, the current RealClearPolitics average has Democrat Hillary Clinton leading Republican Donald Trump by 4 points. Her lead has been cut by more than half in just two weeks.
But the presidential election isn’t a national popular vote. Under the Electoral College system, individual states—the media’s popular term for them is “battleground states”—can swing the election.
Here’s a current rundown of the battleground states:
- Pennsylvania—Clinton +2.3, closing
- Ohio—Clinton +2.5, closing
- Florida—Clinton +3.7, closing
- Virginia—Clinton +4.0, closing
- North Carolina—Clinton +0.7, closing
- Georgia—Trump +4.2, steady
- New Hampshire—Clinton +2.7, closing
- Michigan—Clinton +4.0, closing
- Colorado—Clinton +1.0, steady
- Iowa—Clinton +8.0, growing
- Arizona—Clinton +0.5, closing
Combined, those states account for 157 electoral votes, which is nearly one-third of the total votes in the Electoral College. So far, none of the polling takes into account Tuesday’s announcement from FBI Director James Comey regarding the year-long investigation into Clinton’s use of a private email server while secretary of state.
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