Charisma Caucus

This Early Voting State Is Leaning Toward Donald Trump

Donald Trump
Donald Trump is leading almost every early-voting state, including one that hasn't been polled very often in 2015. (Reuters photo)

When it comes to the "early voting states" in the presidential primary/caucus campaign, Nevada is seemingly an afterthought to pollsters.

Throughout all of 2015, the state's Republicans were polled just five times. The last poll, however, has added to the narrative that one candidate could be running away with the GOP nomination.

The Gravis Marketing poll, conducted during the Christmas holiday and released just before New Year's Day, shows businessman Donald Trump with a commanding lead, 33-20, over U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas), who is in second place. Undecided voters form the the third-largest bloc among Nevada Republicans, taking 12 percent.

U.S. Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) received 11 percent, while no other candidate got more than 6 percent. The poll of 406 likely Republican Caucus voters has a margin of error of 5 percent.

Trump now leads the polling averages in New Hampshire, South Carolina, Nevada, and Florida, as well as the national polling averages. He also leads in the following states, which haven't been polled in the past 30 days: Massachusetts, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Michigan, Missouri, and Ohio.


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